THE 

MONITOR

Keeping Our Finger On The Pulse Of The Retail Industry

Volume VII,    Issue 9

September  2009

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Mixed bag for retailers in August

Same-store sales dropped an average of 2.9% at the 30 retailers tracked by Thomson Reuters. This decline was better than the 3.8% decline analysts had forecast. Only 46% of the retailers beat analysts' expectations.

The retail sales decline continued, but slowed in August as the back-to-school shopping season neared its close. Results still fell short of anything that can be described as a consumer recovery. The later start to the back-to school shopping period and the shift of several state tax-free shopping periods from July to August helped retailers. This was partially offset by the shift in the Labor Day holiday.
 
Discount chains posted better-than-expected sales results in August as consumers looked to save money in the back-to-school shopping season. Target Corp., TJX Cos., Kohl’s and Costco Wholesale Corp. were among the chains whose results beat analysts’ estimates.

"It's really still a discounter's market and an off-price seller's market," said Ken Perkins, president of research firm Retail Metrics.

“Holiday sales are definitely going to be soft, but it's not going to be the bombshell that was dropped on retailers last season," Perkins said.

Experts pointed out that the sales view is unclear by the shift of the U.S. Labor Day holiday -- which falls on the first Monday in September -- to Sept. 7 in 2009 from Sept. 1 in 2008. That means seven more shopping days before Labor Day, including the entire holiday weekend; will be in the September sales reporting month this year. Last year, the Saturday of Labor Day weekend fell in August.

KUTGW* Means......(Texting Shortcuts)

In an article written by Stephanie Raposo of WSJ.com, she points out the need to be in tune with the ever-increasing texting shortcuts that are used everyday – socially and professionally.

As text-messaging shorthand becomes increasingly widespread in emails, text messages and Tweets, people are scrambling to decode it. A working knowledge of text-speak is becoming necessary in many offices, and at home, for parents to keep up with their children. “If a CEO does not appear to be tech-savvy, people may start to wonder, ‘Is the company not plugged into today’s technologies also?’, says Stephanie Grayson, a corporate speech and media trainer based in New York.

One reason for the surge in texting abbreviations-more than 2,000 and counting, according to NetLingo, is the boom in social-media sites like Twitter, where messages are limited to 140 characters. Based on the length limitation, users have developed an alphabet soup of shorthand abbreviations to save time, and their thumbs.

Taking time to learn the jargon may seem like a WOMBAT (“Waste of money, brains and time”). But with over one trillion text messages sent and received in the U.S. last year, according to CTIA-The Wireless Association, an industry trade group, you run the risk of feeling out of it if you don’t.

The new lingo has given rise to a number of resources that provide English translation for terms like WRUD (“What are you doing”)-among them independent Web sites like NetLingo.com and UrbanDictionary.com and corporate ones like LG Mobile Phones’ DTXTR.com. Textapedia, a pocket guide to texting terms released last year, is sold in over 4,000 stores nationwide. Both the AP Stylebook and Merriam-Webster Dictionary recognized texting shorthand for the first time in their 2009 editions.

A sampling of some popular shorthand texting terms.

KUTGW* Keep up the good work
UG2BK You got to be kidding
NMP Not my problem
PIR Parent in room
GFTD Gone for the day
FYEO For your eyes only
BI5 Back in five minutes
DEGT Don’t even go there
BIL Boss is listening
PAW Parents are watching
99 Parents are no long watching
PCM Please call me
IMS I am sorry
HAND Have a nice day
NRN No response necessary
TOY Thinking of you

So now that you're in the know......
                                                                      HAND AND GBTW
                                                                                                                                 From your friends at Hart

How to Spot Counterfeit Money

It used to be that spotting a “good” counterfeit bill was impossible for ordinary people. But for the past ten years, the Bureau of Engraving and Printing has been making bills that are easy to check.

The amount of counterfeit money in the US is low enough that most people feel safe taking money with minimal checks for counterfeits. Does it look and feel like money? Then it probably is. But have you ever gotten a bill where something seemed off? Ever wished you could quickly check to see if it was good? Philip Brewer of Wisebread Forums has offered the following suggestions:

Step 1) Look and Feel
This is good enough most of the time. US bank notes are printed on special paper that’s 75 percent cotton and 25 percent linen. The linen makes it distinctive. There are also red and blue fibers imbedded in the paper.
 
Step 2) Color-Shifting Ink
Bank notes bigger than the $5 bill use color-shifting ink to print the number showing the denomination in the lower-right-hand corner. Just look at the numbers head-on, and then from an angle. For genuine notes the color will shift (copper-to-green or green-to-black). You can confirm the color-shifting ink in a quick glance. Going further will require that you hold the note up to the light; it’s the next step if you want to be sure.

Step 3) Watermark
All bills bigger than a $2 now have a watermark; hold the bill up to the light to see it. For the $10, $20, $50 and $100, the image matches the portrait.

Step 4) Security Thread
All bills bigger than a $2 have a security thread running vertically through the bill. Like the watermark, you hold the bill up to the light to see it. The thread has text with the bill’s denomination and an image that is unique.
 
In summary, if a bill:

• Looks and feels like a US bank note
• Has color-shifting ink
• Has a watermark that matches the portrait
• And has a security thread with text that matches the denomination
 
Then it’s almost certainly a genuine bill.

Adapting to a More Profitable Business Model

By Jeffrey B. Edelman, contributing author
Director of Retail and Consumer Advisory Services, RSM McGladrey, Inc
 
The retail markets, once driven by the “affluent” baby boomer, will now need to focus on a more value-conscious consumer. Shopping patterns are changing; retailers and vendors will need to adapt a new business model. Management in those sectors is already taking action -- reducing discretionary spending, slowing expansion, curtailing payrolls, and tightening inventory controls.
 
The first step for retailers and vendors to develop their new game plan is to engage themselves in an intense self-analysis in order to determine the wants and needs of its target customer, increase its value proposition with new and differentiated merchandise, find a path to a more efficient sourcing and logistics structure, strengthen its brand (whether national or owned), and implement a multi-channel distribution network.
 
Inventory management is one of the important keys to managing the distribution process. Simply put, inventory management is the means to ensuring that the appropriate selection and quantity of merchandise is in place to ensure a higher rate of sale at regular price, and/or at the first markdown. The strategy of a steadily-increasing initial markup, to offset the increasing markdown rate, must be reversed so that the consumer perceives greater value at the outset, as opposed to searching lower-priced channels. This will help to preserve integrity of the brand, and at the same time limit the amount of branded product distributed through off-price outlets and discount formats.

The sourcing strength of large organizations is a significant advantage, but their ability to push back on the manufacturer is becoming more difficult due to deterioration of vendor financial condition; therefore strategy of better collaboration must evolve to provide the incentive of fresh, new and differentiated product. The largest of the national retailers have become too commoditized through their brand’s reliance on “safe” merchandise, with buying decisions today tending towards the overly price sensitive. Management’s mindset needs to gravitate towards the specialty store model, focused on turnover and profits per square foot. This again comes back to “Retailing 101” -- knowing your customer, providing the appropriate level of service, and offering the right product, at the right time, at the right price.  Delivering on that back-to-basics mindset should drive traffic, sales productivity and profitability.

A more profitable business model needs to be developed. Increasing focus on driving gross profit per square foot may allow retailers to offset lower or slower growth in comparable store sales and the resultant cost pressures. The strategy should evolve towards a higher rate of sell-through and inventory turnover. There must be new programs aimed at increasing efficiency as alongside coordinated efforts towards individual store profiling, with appropriately-adjusted size and product assortments.

Strategy has to shift back to the consumer, and truly understanding their wants and needs. There has to be more collaboration between retailers and vendors in managing the merchandise assortment. More importantly, the key to higher returns is higher gross profit per square foot. That mission can be driven by turnover, rather than markdown allowances; realized by “fashion-right” merchandise with less, rather than more, inventory; and a better in-stock position, with reduced breadth and a heightened focus.

About RSM McGladrey’s Retail and Consumer Advisory Services
 


 

Helping businesses compete in the retail and apparel/textiles industries has been an area of strength for RSM McGladrey Inc. We have experience helping more than 8,000 companies address the challenges of supply chain management, improve costs through the implementation of lean practices and face increasing global pressure.

RSM McGladrey Director of Retail and Consumer Advisory Services, Jeffrey B. Edelman, former industry analyst, regularly shares his views on industry issues. For more information, go to http://www.rsmmcgladrey.com/

New Canadian Occupational Health and Safety Regulations

According to the Retail Council of Canada, there will be revisions to the Occupational Health and Safety regulations effective September 1, 2009 affecting the provinces of Newfoundland and Labrador. The revised regulations, under the Occupational Health and Safety Act, apply to all employers in these provinces.

Hart Systems is a proud Member of the Retail Council of Canada and if this applies to your company or divisions please click on the link provided below for more detail information.

Province Introduces New OHS Regulations

Movers & Shakers

People you know, who are on the go…

This monthly installment to The Hart Monitor includes executive moves within the retail industry as reported in publications such as WWD, Hoover's, and various other sources.

Shaw's Supermarkets:
Mike Witynski, former group VP of Brands for parent company SUPERVALU, has become President of the Shaw's supermarket chain. Former President Larry Wahlstrom has retired.

Stein Mart:
Former Kellwood executive Gregory Kleffner is now SVP finance and CFO at discount department store retailer, Stein Mart. He succeeds James Delfs, who has retired. Meanwhile, Robert L. Mettler has been appointed to the Company's Board of Directors. Mr. Mettler is the former Chairman/Chief Executive Officer of Macy's West, a division of Macy's Inc.

Borders Group:
At book retailer, Borders Group, Larry Norton comes on as SVP merchandising and distribution.

Harry & David Holdings:
Former Shaklee CFO Ed Dunlap has been given the titles of SVP and CFO at gift basket retailer Harry & David Holdings.

Destination Maternity:
Leading maternity apparel retailer, Destination Maternity, has announced that Melissa Payner-Gregor, the Chief Executive Officer of Bluefly, Inc., has joined the Company's Board of Directors.

The Warnaco Group:
David Cunningham has become President of its Calvin Klein Jeans division. Mr. Cunningham is assuming the position previously held by Janice Sullivan, who has left the company to pursue other interests.

Kohl's:
President and CEO Kevin Mansell is now the retailer's Chairman since Larry Montgomery stepped down Sept. 1.

Safeway:
Arun Sarin and Michael S. Shannon have been appointed to the Company’s Board of Directors. The company’s board of directors will expand from ten to 12 members with these new appointments. Mr. Sarin was CEO of Vodafone Group Plc while Mr. Shannon founded KSL Capital Partners LLC and its predecessor, KSL Recreation Corporation.

Family Dollar Stores:
Dorlisa Flur is now EVP and Chief Merchandising Officer at bargain retailer, Family Dollar Stores; replacing Robert George.

Every issue of The Hart Monitor will contain a 'TIPS' section of helpful information regarding Inventory or Loss Prevention for retailers, including some of the industry's "Best Practices."  If you have any Inventory or LP tips that you'd like to share, please CLICK HERE

    


Attend Upcoming Loss Prevention Conferences

Canada’s LP industry’s leading conference is right around the corner:

Retail Council of Canada 2009 Loss Prevention Conference
 

September 15, 2009, International Centre – Conference Centre, Mississauga, Ontario, Canada

From the RCC Website:
 

The Retail Loss Prevention Conference serves loss prevention and retail operations professionals across Canada and focuses on all loss prevention aspects within the retail industry. This event brings in a full complement of exhibitors who provide ideas and expertise on a variety of products and services geared toward preventing retail losses. The conference's aim is to provide strategic insight and best practices of the industry, and strengthen relationships between the retail industry, law enforcement, and governments
 
Hart Systems will be participating in this exciting event, and we'll be discussing loss prevention through inventory control, and displaying our rental system for self-scanned inventories - the most accurate physical inventory system available today.

Please stop by our booth and introduce yourself.
 
We're also planning some fun and interesting networking events.  To find out more about these events, or to make arrangements for a private demonstration at the conference, or to simply learn more about our scanning solutions, Click Here or call us at (800) 252-2818

To learn more about how we can help you achieve your physical inventory goals, please call us at 800-252-2818, click here -Tell Me More- to send an e-mail, or visit our website at http://www.hartsystems.com/.

To view a previous Hart Monitor, click June, July, August

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© 2009 Hart Systems, LLC.

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Attitude determines how well you do it.”

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former NCAA football and NFL head coach

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